{"id":210608,"date":"2025-01-15T21:30:37","date_gmt":"2025-01-16T02:30:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.crossingbroad.com\/?p=210608"},"modified":"2025-01-15T21:30:37","modified_gmt":"2025-01-16T02:30:37","slug":"a-look-at-the-nfl-divisional-round-odds-and-trends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.crossingbroad.com\/2025\/01\/a-look-at-the-nfl-divisional-round-odds-and-trends.html","title":{"rendered":"A Look at the NFL Divisional Round Odds and Trends"},"content":{"rendered":"

A handful of notable trends are in play for the NFL’s divisional round.<\/p>\n

As of Wednesday evening, there are three clear favorites in Kansas City, Detroit, and Philadelphia. Baltimore is a short favorite, but there’s a chance that number flips in Buffalo’s favor by kickoff.<\/p>\n

There’s a distinct difference in the over\/unders with two totals in the 50s and two in the low 40s.<\/p>\n

Here’s a look at all of the spread and over\/under trends for the eight remaining postseason participants.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Texans at Chiefs (-8.5) (Over\/Under: 41.5)\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Kansas City presents a peculiar case when it comes to spread betting.<\/p>\n

The Chiefs have not covered a spread of more than a touchdown all season. They are 0-4 ATS in those spots and they will likely close above seven points by the time kickoff rolls around on Saturday.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, Houston has not been an underdog of more than 6.5 points all season. The Texans are 4-3 ATS as an underdog, but they did not cover the spread of three against Kansas City in December.<\/p>\n

The over hit in the regular-season meeting, and that number closed one point higher than the current total of 41.5.<\/p>\n

Houston is 4-0 to the over when the total closed at 41.5 or less, while Kansas City is 4-0 to the under when the total ends up at 42 or lower.<\/p>\n

The Chiefs have the most recent playoff history of any team left, so their trends are best to follow. The Chiefs are 3-3 ATS as a favorite of six or more in the playoffs during the Patrick Mahomes era. They are 10-2 ATS with spreads of six points or less.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Commanders at Lions (-9.5) (O\/U: 55.5)<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Everyone thinks Commanders\/Lions will be a shootout because of Detroit’s season-long struggles on defense.<\/p>\n

The over went 4-0 in Lions games in December, but they reversed course and held the Vikings to nine points and hit the under by 16.5 points in the regular-season finale.<\/p>\n

Only two Lions games closed with a total of 55.5 or higher. The Lions went 1-1 to the over in that small sample size.<\/p>\n

Washington hasn’t had a game close with a total above 52 points all season. They are 2-1 to the under in three games where the total closed above 50.<\/p>\n

Something to consider for PA sports betting<\/a> this weekend is that the Commanders haven’t been more than a 7.5-point underdog all season. They covered and won outright against the Bengals as a 7.5-point underdog.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the Lions are 2-1 ATS with a double-digit spread in their favor. They’re 4-2 ATS as a favorite of seven or more points.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Rams at Eagles (-6) (O\/U: 43.5)\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The Eagles are 6-3 ATS as a favorite of less than a touchdown.<\/p>\n

One of those covers came as a three-point road favorite against the Rams on November 24th.<\/p>\n

The Birds have trended toward the under in games where low totals are posted. They are 4-2 to the under when the number closes below 44.<\/p>\n

The Rams are 4-6 ATS as an underdog and they covered the two biggest spreads that went against them this season. They won outright as a six-point dog against the 49ers on September 22 and covered a seven-point number against the Seahawks in Week 18. Only the cover against San Francisco applies to the overall trends since the starters were rested in Week 18.<\/p>\n

Los Angeles hit the over in all three games where the total closed below 43 points.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Ravens (-1.5) at Bills (O\/U: 51.5)<\/strong><\/h2>\n

If the spread holds, Buffalo would be an underdog for the second time this season against the Ravens.<\/p>\n

Buffalo is 2-2 ATS and 2-2 straight up as an underdog and it has only been a favorite lower than three points twice this season. The Bills are 2-0 ATS as a short favorite with one of those covers coming against Kansas City. That’s important to note if the number flips back in their favor.<\/p>\n

Baltimore has only been an underdog once this entire season, and that was against the Chiefs. The Ravens are 2-1 ATS as a favorite of a field goal or less.<\/p>\n

The more notable Ravens trend is with the total. They are 4-1 to the over when the total closed at 50 points or higher. The Bills are 2-0 to the over when the total ended up at 50 or higher.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A handful of notable trends are in play for the NFL’s divisional round. As of Wednesday evening, there are three clear favorites in Kansas City, Detroit, and Philadelphia. Baltimore is a short favorite, but there’s a chance that number flips in Buffalo’s favor by kickoff. There’s a distinct difference in the over\/unders with two totals […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":508,"featured_media":210612,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"fbia_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[58,5808],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-210608","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-eagles","category-writereditor-jim-adair"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nA Look at the NFL Divisional Round Odds and Trends - Crossing Broad<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.crossingbroad.com\/2025\/01\/a-look-at-the-nfl-divisional-round-odds-and-trends.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Look at the NFL Divisional Round Odds and Trends\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A handful of notable trends are in play for the NFL’s divisional round. 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