{"id":209935,"date":"2025-01-07T15:15:40","date_gmt":"2025-01-07T20:15:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.crossingbroad.com\/?p=209935"},"modified":"2025-01-07T15:15:40","modified_gmt":"2025-01-07T20:15:40","slug":"a-look-at-the-nfl-wild-card-weekend-odds-and-trends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.crossingbroad.com\/2025\/01\/a-look-at-the-nfl-wild-card-weekend-odds-and-trends.html","title":{"rendered":"A Look at the NFL Wild Card Weekend Odds and Trends"},"content":{"rendered":"

We’ve already broken down the Packers\/Eagles Wild Card game and will continue to do so, but there are five other games on the NFL weekend slate.<\/p>\n

Before you place your wagers, take a look at the notable trends.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Chargers (-3) at Texans (Over\/Under: 42.5)\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The Chargers are tied with the Broncos and Lions for the best against the spread record in the NFL.<\/p>\n

Here’s the money trend for the Chargers: They are 7-1 ATS as a favorite of three or more points.<\/p>\n

Houston owns a 3-3 ATS record as an underdog, but is 2-1 ATS when it is an underdog of three or more points.<\/p>\n

The key over\/under trend in this matchup comes from the Texans, who are 11-6 to the under and they’ve hit the over once when the total closed above 43 points. The Chargers are 3-3 to the over when the total closed at 43 or higher.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Steelers at Ravens (-10) (O\/U: 43.5)<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Baltimore has the best record to the over among the 14 playoff teams.<\/p>\n

Only the Carolina Panthers matched the Ravens with a 13-4 mark to the over this season.<\/p>\n

The Over 44 hit in the last game between the Steelers and Ravens on December 21st. That was the only over that hit in the last five Steelers regular-season games.<\/p>\n

The Ravens have been favored by nine or more points four times this season and they’re 3-1 ATS in those games. Pittsburgh has not been an underdog of more than seven points in 2024. The Steelers are 6-3 ATS as an underdog, but they haven’t covered a spread of more than four points as a dog.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Broncos at Bills (-8.5) (O\/U: 47.5)<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Denver has an incredible 12-5 ATS mark.<\/p>\n

Part of that has to do with how undervalued the Broncos were on the betting markets at the start of the season with a rookie quarterback leading them.<\/p>\n

Denver is 2-2 ATS as an underdog of seven or more points and 4-2 ATS as a dog of six or more points. If you expand that more, the Broncos are 4-6 ATS as an underdog, with all four covers coming as a higher dog.<\/p>\n

Buffalo is 2-1 ATS as a favorite of more than a touchdown and 3-4 to the over when the total closed above 47 points.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, only one Denver game has closed with a total of 47 points or higher, so there’s zero true sample size to go off for the over\/under of 47.5.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Commanders at Buccaneers (-3) (O\/U: 50.5)\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Washington and Tampa Bay both rank inside the top 10 in ATS record and record to the over.<\/p>\n

With that being said, only five combined games between the Commanders and Buccaneers have closed with a total of 50 or more points.<\/p>\n

Washington is 1-1 to the over when the total closed above 50, while Tampa Bay is 1-2 in those spots.<\/p>\n

This also seems crazy, but the Bucs haven’t been as small of a favorite all season as they are for Sunday. They are 5-4 ATS as a favorite, but all of those numbers have been 3.5 or higher, including the cover of a four-point spread in Week 1 against Washington.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Vikings (-1.5) at Rams (O\/U: 46.5)\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Minnesota enters Monday with a 7-5 ATS record as a favorite.<\/p>\n

However, one of those losses came in a 30-20 defeat to the Rams in October.<\/p>\n

The Rams are 5-4 ATS as an underdog, but four of the five covers came as an underdog of three or more points.<\/p>\n

Minnesota’s totals have trended toward the lower 40s all season, and the Vikings are only 2-3 to the over when the number closed at 47 or higher.<\/p>\n

Eight of the nine unders that hit in Rams games this season came when the total closed at 47 or higher. The Rams are 3-8 to the over in 11 games where the total closed at 47 or more.<\/p>\n

Whatever you end up doing, enjoy yourself. This, combined with the college football playoff semifinals, makes for one of the best weeks for PA sports betting<\/a> and New Jersey sports betting apps<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

We’ve already broken down the Packers\/Eagles Wild Card game and will continue to do so, but there are five other games on the NFL weekend slate. Before you place your wagers, take a look at the notable trends.   Chargers (-3) at Texans (Over\/Under: 42.5)\u00a0 The Chargers are tied with the Broncos and Lions for […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":508,"featured_media":209946,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"fbia_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1724],"class_list":["post-209935","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nA Look at the NFL Wild Card Weekend Odds and Trends - Crossing Broad<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.crossingbroad.com\/2025\/01\/a-look-at-the-nfl-wild-card-weekend-odds-and-trends.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Look at the NFL Wild Card Weekend Odds and Trends\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"We’ve already broken down the Packers\/Eagles Wild Card game and will continue to do so, but there are five other games on the NFL weekend slate. 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