{"id":128105,"date":"2021-05-21T15:08:30","date_gmt":"2021-05-21T19:08:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.crossingbroad.com\/?p=128105"},"modified":"2021-05-21T15:11:44","modified_gmt":"2021-05-21T19:11:44","slug":"the-sixers-are-a-tremendous-betting-value-right-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.crossingbroad.com\/2021\/05\/the-sixers-are-a-tremendous-betting-value-right-now.html","title":{"rendered":"The Sixers Are a Tremendous Betting Value Right Now"},"content":{"rendered":"

The ‘OFFS are here, baby (baby!?), and it’s time to take you on a rollicking two-month romp to the promised land.<\/p>\n

Or an expected second round exit.<\/p>\n

Either way, maestro comes armed with stats and a newfound ability<\/a><\/strong> to wager large sums of money.<\/p>\n

Leggo.<\/p>\n

Perhaps you’ll remember (you won’t)\u00a0two years ago\u00a0when I pointed out<\/a><\/strong> a huge divergence – a delta, they say – between the Kyle Lowry Toronto Raptors’ chances and their betting odds against the Warriors. In short, the Warriors were a huge betting favorite, but BIG DATA put the series at essentially a coin flip, meaning there was huge betting value on the Raptors.<\/p>\n

Well, it’s happening again.<\/p>\n

Take a look at how favorably Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight<\/strong><\/a> views the Sixers’ prospects using their RAPTORS (unrelated) system:<\/p>\n

\"Sixers<\/a><\/p>\n

Now, to the odds board!<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Depending on where you look, the Sixers have the fifth-best odds to win it all, and can be had as high at +800 at FanDuel Sportsbook<\/a><\/strong>— an only 11% implied win probability.<\/p>\n

And that’s before we get to the outrageous 46% chance of advancing to the Boss Stage against the West, according to FiveThirtyEight.<\/p>\n

The Sixers can be had for as high as +300 at DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a><\/strong> and BetMGM<\/a><\/strong>, implying an only 25% probability.<\/p>\n

What could be driving this huge divergence in pricing? Well, let’s consider the amount of money being bet on Nets futures at DraftKings:<\/p>\n

\n

Sixers are currently +700 to win the NBA title via DraftKings. <\/p>\n

Bet here: https:\/\/t.co\/w6qFvFa1Do<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/Xqz99xHMO7<\/a><\/p>\n

— Crossing Broad (@CrossingBroad) May 17, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n